🎾 Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 25/06, 13:30
Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watson
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1595 · Heather Watson 1526
| Maria Timofeeva | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1595 vs 1526).
- Maria Timofeeva dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 55.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 1–0 Heather Watson (1).
🎾 Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7.2 | 12.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 50.1% |
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 1 – 0 Heather Watson (1)
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 1–0 Heather Watson
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/25 WTA Singapore | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Maria Timofeeva
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Lea Boskovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Erika Andreeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Maria Lourdes Carle French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Cadence Brace French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Heather Watson
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Tatiana Prozorova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mayar Sherif Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Xiaodi You WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Aoi Ito W100 Gifu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Hikaru Sato W100 Gifu |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |