🎾 Tennis · Wimbledon · 25/06, 13:30
Hugo Gaston vs Moez Echargui
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1469 · Moez Echargui 1415
| Hugo Gaston | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueMoez Echargui · +6.6%The model gives this bet 6.6% more probability than its odds (3.40) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Gaston (rating 1469 vs 1415).
🎾 Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.6 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-13.6 | 9.6-14 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 29.1% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Hugo Gaston
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Lautaro Midon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Gael Monfils French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 23-17 | W |
| 19/05 | Karen Khachanov ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Marko Topo ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 04/05 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Moez Echargui
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Edas Butvilas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Bernard Tomic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Cristian Garin ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Cristian Garin Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |