🎾 Tennis · Wimbledon · 25/06, 13:30
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1504 · Otto Virtanen 1562
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueNicolai Budkov Kjaer · +6.3%The model gives this bet 6.3% more probability than its odds (3.40) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1504 vs 1562).
- Head-to-head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 2–0 Otto Virtanen (2).
🎾 Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.5 | 14.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 17 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 82% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 31.9% |
H2H · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 2 – 0 Otto Virtanen (2)
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 2–0 Otto Virtanen
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 ATP Rome | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 07/03/26 Challenger Thionville | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Tom Gentzsch French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Jakub Paul Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/05 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Otto Virtanen
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |