🎾 Tennis · M15 Rzeszow · 25/06, 14:00
Leyton Rivera vs Markus Molder
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyton Rivera 1505 · Markus Molder 1594
| Leyton Rivera | Markus Molder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueLeyton Rivera · +6.3%The model gives this bet 6.3% more probability than its odds (4.00) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Markus Molder (rating 1505 vs 1594).
- Markus Molder is in better form: 90% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Leyton Rivera | Markus Molder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.6 | 12.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 60.1% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Leyton Rivera
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Rzeszow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Nyiregyhaza |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Nyiregyhaza |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Szentendre |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sasha Colleu M15 Szentendre |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Filip Djokic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | James Hart M15 Mbombela |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/04 | James Beaven M15 Mbombela |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Markus Molder
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Rzeszow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Vaasa |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/05 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucca Soares Guerra Maio Ribeiro M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 23/05 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Yassin Ahmed Wageh M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/02 | Codie Schalk Van Schalkwyk Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |