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🎾 Tennis · ATP Eastbourne · 25/06, 13:30

Jan Choinski vs Zizou Bergs

57%2
43% 57%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jan Choinski 1540 · Zizou Bergs 1472
Jan ChoinskiZizou Bergs
Our model60%40%
Market30%70%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValuePremium onlyHigh value detected. Go premium to see it.

🔑 Match keys

  • Value on Jan Choinski: the model (surface Elo) gives it +13.4% more probability than its odds (3.20) pay.
  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Choinski (rating 1540 vs 1472).
  • Jan Choinski dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 43.1% break avg.
  • Jan Choinski is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Jan Choinski 2–1 Zizou Bergs (3).

🎾 Statistics

Jan ChoinskiZizou Bergs
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.1-1.5
Games (G-P)13.1-11.712.9-13.2
Aces7.48
Double faults23.9
1st serve %74.1%75.2%
Break %43.1%36.1%

H2H · Jan Choinski 2 – 1 Zizou Bergs (3)

⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Choinski 2–1 Zizou Bergs

DateSetsGamesRes.
15/06/24
ATP Queens
1-215-19L
31/12/23
ATP Hong Kong
2-012-4W
15/08/18
Challenger Meerbusch
2-012-7W

📅 Last 10 matches played

Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.

Jan Choinski

LWWWW
Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Felix Gill
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
 2-1 18-13 W
22/06 Alexei Popyrin
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
 2-1 13-10 W
21/06 Marcos Giron
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
 2-1 20-18 W
20/06 Yibing Wu
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
 2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Poznan · Clay
 1-2 16-16 L
17/06 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Poznan · Clay
 2-1 14-13 W
16/06 Pedro Boscardin Dias
Challenger Poznan · Clay
 2-0 13-5 W
10/06 Federico Cina
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
 0-2 6-13 L
08/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
 2-0 12-7 W
04/06 Luka Mikrut
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
 0-2 6-12 L

Zizou Bergs

LLLLW
Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/06 Jaume Munar
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
 2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Taylor Fritz
ATP Halle · Grass
 1-2 17-18 L
10/06 James McCabe
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
 1-2 15-19 L
24/05 Tomas Machac
French Open · Clay
 0-3 11-18 L
15/05 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Challenger Valencia · Clay
 0-2 7-12 L
14/05 Roberto Bautista-Agut
Challenger Valencia · Clay
 2-1 18-13 W
07/05 Terence Atmane
ATP Rome · Clay
 0-2 7-12 L
03/05 Alejandro Tabilo
Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay
 1-2 13-16 L
02/05 Pol Martin Tiffon
Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay
 2-0 12-7 W
01/05 Rinky Hijikata
Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay
 2-1 17-11 W