🎾 Tennis · M25 Zagreb · 25/06, 10:00
Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Kalin Ivanovski
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1542 · Kalin Ivanovski 1586
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1542 vs 1586).
- Kalin Ivanovski dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 53% break avg.
- Kalin Ivanovski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.4/match).
🎾 Statistics
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Kalin Ivanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.8 | 14.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 79.7% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 53% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Zagreb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Ausias Martin Melo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Tomas Martinez M15 Maringa |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Maringa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Kalin Ivanovski
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Jan Facek M25 Zagreb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Simon Knezevic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Aleksandre Bakshi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Ilya Snitari Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Djordje Sapic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Gigante Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |