🎾 Tennis · ATP Eastbourne · 25/06, 12:00
Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Samuel 1528 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1592
| Toby Samuel | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel Cerundolo (rating 1528 vs 1592).
- Toby Samuel dominates on serve: 11.9 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 48.8% break avg.
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Toby Samuel | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 2.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.1 | 17.5-13.9 |
| Aces | 11.9 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 48.8% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Toby Samuel
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 25/05 | Alex De Minaur French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 20/05 | David Goffin French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/06 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 30/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 32-30 | W |
| 28/05 | Jannik Sinner French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-19 | W |
| 26/05 | Jacob Fearnley French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Quentin Halys Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Martin Damm Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |