🎾 Tennis · M25 Brussels · 25/06, 10:00
Tim Handel vs Samuele Pieri
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tim Handel 1473 · Samuele Pieri 1518
| Tim Handel | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueTim Handel · +7.5%The model gives this bet 7.5% more probability than its odds (3.50) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Pieri (rating 1473 vs 1518).
- Samuele Pieri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Tim Handel | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.3 | 11.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 29.6% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Tim Handel
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Remy Dugardin M25 Brussels |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Ceska Lipa |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Maxime Janvier M25 Mataro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Luigi Valletta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/04 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/04 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Mika Petkovic M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Samuele Pieri
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Brussels |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 27/05 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jerome Kym Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Alessandro Battiston Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Klagenfurt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Klagenfurt |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |