🎾 Tennis · Challenger Targu Mures · 26/06, 09:00
Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1583 · Niels McDonald 1650
| Cezar Cretu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueNiels McDonald · +7.7%The model gives this bet 7.7% more probability than its odds (2.20) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels McDonald (rating 1583 vs 1650).
🎾 Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.5 | 13.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 40.3% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Cezar Cretu
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/05 | Radu Albot Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Liam Broady Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexander Cozbinov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Niels McDonald
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Anton Shepp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Kai Wehnelt M15 Rosbach |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |