🎾 Tennis · WTA Bad Homburg · 25/06, 11:00
Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naomi Osaka 1546 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1446
| Naomi Osaka | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naomi Osaka (rating 1546 vs 1446).
- Naomi Osaka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (5/match).
🎾 Statistics
| Naomi Osaka | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.6 | 9.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 31.9% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Naomi Osaka
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Iva Jovic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Laura Siegemund French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Diana Shnaider WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/05 | Eva Lys WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/04 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Ann Li WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Laura Siegemund WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/04 | Linda Noskova WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Linz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |