🎾 Tennis · W15 Sapporo · 25/06, 04:30
Yuka Hosoki vs Mayuka Aikawa
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuka Hosoki 1500 · Mayuka Aikawa 1568
| Yuka Hosoki | Mayuka Aikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueYuka Hosoki · +7.6%The model gives this bet 7.6% more probability than its odds (4.00) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayuka Aikawa (rating 1500 vs 1568).
- Mayuka Aikawa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Yuka Hosoki | Mayuka Aikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 11.1-7.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 37.9% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Yuka Hosoki
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Riko Kikawada W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Nana Onozawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 09/06 | Hikaru Sato W15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Tokyo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Misaki Matsuda W100 Takasaki |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Junhan Zhang W15 Nakhon Pathom |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Jemma Carbis W15 Nakhon Pathom |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/04 | Yuhan Liu W15 Nakhon Pathom |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucia Gale W15 Nakhon Pathom |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Mayuka Aikawa
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Aishi Das W15 Tokyo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Tokyo |
1-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Seri Nayuki UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/06 | Yua Morishita UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |

