🎾 Tennis · M25 Porto · 24/06, 16:00
Vasco L Prata vs Tiago Pereira
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasco L Prata 1577 · Tiago Pereira 1536
| Vasco L Prata | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Vasco L Prata: the model (surface Elo) gives it +13.1% more probability than its odds (3.50) pay.
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco L Prata (rating 1577 vs 1536).
- Vasco L Prata is in better form: 80% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Vasco L Prata | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.8 | 11.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 62.2% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Vasco L Prata
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Lourinha |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Andrew Hayduke II UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/12 | Nazim Makhlouf UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/12 | Yanais Laurent UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Tiago Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Alan Wazny M25 Bol |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Bol |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Jiri Cizek M25 Bol |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mateya Stanisavljevic M25 Bol |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/05 | Emilio Nava Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |