🎾 Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 25/06, 17:30
Mitchell Sheldon vs Carson Baker
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Sheldon 1556 · Carson Baker 1507
| Mitchell Sheldon | Carson Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueCarson Baker · +6.9%The model gives this bet 6.9% more probability than its odds (3.40) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitchell Sheldon (rating 1556 vs 1507).
🎾 Statistics
| Mitchell Sheldon | Carson Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-7.6 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 44.3% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Mitchell Sheldon
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicholas Mangiapane UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Santiago Padilla Cote UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/12 | Frederic Schlossmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Keenan Mayo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/12 | Alexander Simone UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Carson Baker
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Nicholas Mangiapane UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/12 | Vincent Yang UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/12 | Jack Dimenna UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/12 | Guillaume Dalmasso UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/12 | Tarek Erlewein UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/12 | Hikaru Takahashi UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/12 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Zachery Foster UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |