🎾 Tennis · Challenger Piracicaba · 25/06, 16:10
Thiago Cigarran vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1522 · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1481
| Thiago Cigarran | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Thiago Cigarran: the model (surface Elo) gives it +12.7% more probability than its odds (3.40) pay.
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1522 vs 1481).
- Head-to-head: Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (1).
🎾 Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.5 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 42.6% |
H2H · Thiago Cigarran 1 – 0 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (1)
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/25 ITF M25 Asuncion | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Thiago Cigarran
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Leonel Cesar Castro Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Karim Bennani Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Piotr Matuszewski Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Benjamin Chelia M25 Lujan |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 24/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Pranav Kumar M25 Xalapa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |