🎾 Tennis · M15 Slovenska Bistrica · 24/06, 12:30
Maximilian Homberg vs Marko Retelj
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Homberg 1528 · Marko Retelj 1477
| Maximilian Homberg | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
💎 ValueMarko Retelj +7.7%The model gives this bet 7.7% more probability than its odds (4) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Homberg (rating 1528 vs 1477).
🎾 Statistics
| Maximilian Homberg | Marko Retelj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.7 | 7.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 43.9% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Maximilian Homberg
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Kranjska Gora |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kranjska Gora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Max Pade M15 Kranjska Gora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/03 | Andrew Fenty M25 Bakersfield |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Manama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/11 | Matthew Summers Challenger Manama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/11 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Manama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/11 | Deni Zmak UTR Pro Dubai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Marko Retelj
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Jonas Pelle Hartenstein M15 Slovenska Bistrica |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Ljubljana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Kranjska Gora |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 20/05 | Michael Savano M15 Litija |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nazar Oliynykov M15 Litija |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Jovan Bjelobrk M15 Monastir |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/03 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Corentin Denolly ITF M15 Slovenj Gradec · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |