Handball · Brazil Super Paulista · 27/06, 16:00
Itatiba Esporte Clube vs Sao Caetano
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Itatiba Esporte Clube 1429 · Sao Caetano 1491
| Itatiba Esporte Clube | Sao Caetano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
54.4 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points54.4Itatiba Esporte Clube 25.9 · Sao Caetano 28.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sao Caetano (rating 1429 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Sao Caetano: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Itatiba Esporte Clube | Sao Caetano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 24.1 / 31.1 | 25.5 / 30.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 23.2 / 27.2 | 26.8 / 27.4 |
| Est. result | 26 | 29 |
Est. total54.4
Line O/U53.5
Diff.0.9
Head-to-head (H2H) · Itatiba Esporte Clube 0–0–3 Sao Caetano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 Brazil Super Paulista | Itatiba Esporte Clube | 16-31 | Sao Caetano |
| 15/05/25 Brazil Super Paulista | Sao Caetano | 27-17 | Itatiba Esporte Clube |
| 09/10/21 Brazil Super Paulista | Sao Caetano | 27-20 | Itatiba Esporte Clube |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itatiba Esporte Clube
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Guarulhos Brazil Super Paulista |
22-23 | L |
| 04/06 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
26-24 | W |
| 21/05 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
28-28 | D |
| 25/04 | Sorocaba Brazil Super Paulista |
21-22 | L |
| 18/04 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
19-39 | L |
| 29/03 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
21-35 | L |
| 08/11 | Ribeirao Preto Brazil Super Paulista |
29-22 | W |
| 30/10 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
22-40 | L |
| 29/10 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
22-40 | L |
| 04/10 | Sorocaba Brazil Super Paulista |
31-38 | L |
Sao Caetano
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
16-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
21-37 | L |
| 01/05 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
38-22 | W |
| 25/04 | Guarulhos Brazil Super Paulista |
41-26 | W |
| 17/04 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
18-38 | L |
| 25/11 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
30-40 | L |
| 20/11 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
17-34 | L |
| 01/11 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
20-34 | L |
| 30/10 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
28-34 | L |
| 28/10 | Ser/Sorocaba Brazil Super Paulista |
26-22 | W |