🤾 Handball · Brazil Super Paulista · 26/06, 01:00
Sorocaba vs Sao Caetano
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorocaba 1538 · Sao Caetano 1477
| Sorocaba | Sao Caetano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 48% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
56.1 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
PickOver 52.5 points · 70%
Estimated points56.1Sorocaba 29.3 · Sao Caetano 26.8
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (56.1) far from line (52.5): possible value on Over 52.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorocaba (rating 1538 vs 1477).
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sorocaba | Sao Caetano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.3 / 27.2 | 25.5 / 30.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25.8 / 28.6 | 26.8 / 27.4 |
| Est. result | 29 | 27 |
Est. total56.1
Line O/U52.5
💎 Diff.3.6
Over / Under70% / 30%
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sorocaba
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
30-28 | W |
| 13/06 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
27-26 | W |
| 29/04 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
26-38 | L |
| 25/04 | Itatiba Esporte Clube Brazil Super Paulista |
22-21 | W |
| 11/04 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
24-30 | L |
| 25/10 | Sao Carlos Brazil Super Paulista |
41-19 | W |
| 23/10 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
16-31 | L |
| 11/10 | Ribeirao Preto Brazil Super Paulista |
29-26 | W |
| 07/10 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
30-22 | W |
| 04/10 | Itatiba Esporte Clube Brazil Super Paulista |
38-31 | W |
Sao Caetano
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
16-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
21-37 | L |
| 01/05 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
38-22 | W |
| 25/04 | Guarulhos Brazil Super Paulista |
41-26 | W |
| 17/04 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
18-38 | L |
| 25/11 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
30-40 | L |
| 20/11 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
17-34 | L |
| 01/11 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
20-34 | L |
| 30/10 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
28-34 | L |
| 28/10 | Ser/Sorocaba Brazil Super Paulista |
26-22 | W |