Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 02/07, 17:30
TPS (W) vs JyPK (W)
Expected goals: 3.18 (TPS (W) 1.5 · JyPK (W) 1.69). The model gives 34% home, 24% draw, 42% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TPS (W) 1470 · JyPK (W) 1471
| TPS (W) | Draw | JyPK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.18TPS (W) 1.5 · JyPK (W) 1.69
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours TPS (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPS (W) | JyPK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPS (W) 3–1–2 JyPK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/22 Finland Ykkonen Women | JyPK (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | TPS (W) |
| 07/06/22 Finland Ykkonen Women | TPS (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JyPK (W) |
| 05/09/20 Finland Naisten Liiga Women | JyPK (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | TPS (W) |
| 04/07/20 Finland Naisten Liiga Women | TPS (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | JyPK (W) |
| 30/06/19 Finland Naisten Liiga Women | TPS (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JyPK (W) |
| 30/05/19 Finland Naisten Liiga Women | JyPK (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | TPS (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPS (W) | JyPK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HJS (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| HJK II (W) | 1-4 L | 1-5 L |
| EBK (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| ONS (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| KTP (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: TPS (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/04 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
JyPK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |