Football · Myanmar League Women · 01/07, 11:30
Myawady FC (W) vs Shan Utd (W)
Expected goals: 2.84 (Myawady FC (W) 0.75 · Shan Utd (W) 2.09). The model gives 12% home, 19% draw, 68% away. Under 3 goals (56%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Myawady FC (W) 1416 · Shan Utd (W) 1496
| Myawady FC (W) | Draw | Shan Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.84Myawady FC (W) 0.75 · Shan Utd (W) 2.09
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shan Utd (W) (rating 1416 vs 1496).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Myawady FC (W) | Shan Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Myawady FC (W) 2–1–2 Shan Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Myanmar League Women | Myawady FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shan Utd (W) |
| 11/09/25 Myanmar League Women | Shan Utd (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Myawady FC (W) |
| 14/09/24 Myanmar League Women | Shan Utd (W) | 1-0 | Myawady FC (W) |
| 13/08/24 Myanmar League Women | Myawady FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Shan Utd (W) |
| 23/05/24 Myanmar League Women | Shan Utd (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Myawady FC (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Myawady FC (W) | Shan Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Yangon United FC (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Yreo FC (W) | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Yangon City (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Ayeyawady FC (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Ispe FC (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shan Utd (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Myawady FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Young Lionesses FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/01 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/01 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/01 | Yangon City (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/01 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/01 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 26/12 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/09 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Shan Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/06 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/01 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/01 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/01 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/01 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/01 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/12 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | Yangon City (W) Myanmar League Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 16/09 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |