Football · Mongolia Premier League · 01/07, 13:00
Khovd FC vs Khoromkhon Club
Expected goals: 4.5 (Khovd FC 2 · Khoromkhon Club 2.5). The model gives 31% home, 20% draw, 49% away. Under 4.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khovd FC 1395 · Khoromkhon Club 1373
| Khovd FC | Draw | Khoromkhon Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 20% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.5Khovd FC 2 · Khoromkhon Club 2.5
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 64%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Khoromkhon Club: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khovd FC | Khoromkhon Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 5.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 2.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khovd FC 2–0–4 Khoromkhon Club
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Mongolia Premier League | Khoromkhon Club | 6-1 HT 1-0 | Khovd FC |
| 04/10/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 7-2 HT 2-1 | Khoromkhon Club |
| 22/06/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 10-2 HT 4-1 | Khoromkhon Club |
| 28/03/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khoromkhon Club | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Khovd FC |
| 14/09/24 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 3-4 HT 3-2 | Khoromkhon Club |
| 15/06/24 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Khoromkhon Club |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Khovd FC | Khoromkhon Club |
|---|---|---|
| Ulaangom City FC | 3-3 D | 2-4 L |
| Hunters FC | 1-6 L | 0-9 L |
| Khovd Western | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Deren FC | 0-6 L | 0-12 L |
| Khangarid Klub | 0-6 L | 2-6 L |
| Central Stallions | 0-9 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khovd FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-10 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 3 | L |
Khoromkhon Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-9 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-6 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-5 | 0-12 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
2-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-5 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |