Football · Myanmar League Women · 30/06, 11:00
Ayeyawady FC (W) vs Ispe FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.83 (Ayeyawady FC (W) 1.69 · Ispe FC (W) 1.14). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayeyawady FC (W) 1599 · Ispe FC (W) 1581
| Ayeyawady FC (W) | Draw | Ispe FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.83Ayeyawady FC (W) 1.69 · Ispe FC (W) 1.14
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ispe FC (W): 2-2-0.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ayeyawady FC (W) | Ispe FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 3 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayeyawady FC (W) 0–2–2 Ispe FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Myanmar League Women | Ispe FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ayeyawady FC (W) |
| 02/05/25 Myanmar League Women | Ayeyawady FC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Ispe FC (W) |
| 19/09/24 Myanmar League Women | Ispe FC (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ayeyawady FC (W) |
| 09/08/24 Myanmar League Women | Ayeyawady FC (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Ispe FC (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ayeyawady FC (W) | Ispe FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Thitsar Arman FC (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Shan Utd (W) | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Myawady FC (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Yangon United FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Yreo FC (W) | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Young Lionesses FC (W) | 4-0 W | 9-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ispe FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayeyawady FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/01 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/01 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/01 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 07/01 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/01 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/12 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/09 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/09 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Young Lionesses FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Ispe FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Zwekapin United (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/01 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/01 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/01 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 17/01 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/01 | Young Lionesses FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 30/12 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/12 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 15/11 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |