Football · Vietnam Championship Women · 30/06, 11:00
Ha Nam (W) vs Than KSVN (W)
Expected goals: 1.75 (Ha Nam (W) 0.64 · Than KSVN (W) 1.11). The model gives 21% home, 31% draw, 47% away. Under 2 goals (58%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ha Nam (W) 1480 · Than KSVN (W) 1524
| Ha Nam (W) | Draw | Than KSVN (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 35% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.75Ha Nam (W) 0.64 · Than KSVN (W) 1.11
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 58%
BTTSNo · 55%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Than KSVN (W) (rating 1480 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Than KSVN (W): 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ha Nam (W) | Than KSVN (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.6 | 1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ha Nam (W) 0–3–3 Than KSVN (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Nam (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Than KSVN (W) |
| 22/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Than KSVN (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ha Nam (W) |
| 06/04/25 Vietnam Cup Women | Than KSVN (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ha Nam (W) |
| 25/03/25 Vietnam Cup Women | Than KSVN (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ha Nam (W) |
| 08/07/24 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Nam (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Than KSVN (W) |
| 07/05/24 Vietnam Championship Women | Than KSVN (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ha Nam (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ha Nam (W) | Than KSVN (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Thai Nguyen (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| TP HCM (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Ho Chi Minh II (W) | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Ha Noi (W) | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Than KSVN (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ha Nam (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 27/05 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/10 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/10 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 29/09 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Than KSVN (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 08/10 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |