Football · Australia Cup Qualifying · 30/06, 11:30
Brunswick Juventus vs Heidelberg Utd
Expected goals: 2.91 (Brunswick Juventus 1.2 · Heidelberg Utd 1.71). The model gives 26% home, 25% draw, 48% away. Under 4 goals (65%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
48%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brunswick Juventus 1512 · Heidelberg Utd 1502
| Brunswick Juventus | Draw | Heidelberg Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.91Brunswick Juventus 1.2 · Heidelberg Utd 1.71
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 65%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Heidelberg Utd: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brunswick Juventus | Heidelberg Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.6 | 3.7 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brunswick Juventus 0–0–3 Heidelberg Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Heidelberg Utd | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 18/03/17 Australia FFA Cup | Heidelberg Utd | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 11/01/17 Australia Friendlies | Heidelberg Utd | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brunswick Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Box Hill United Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 08/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Heidelberg Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Bentleigh Greens Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
3-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |