Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 30/06, 17:30
HJK II (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Expected goals: 4.13 (HJK II (W) 2.79 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.34). The model gives 67% home, 17% draw, 16% away. Under 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HJK II (W) 1529 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1471
| HJK II (W) | Draw | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 17% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.13HJK II (W) 2.79 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.34
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK II (W) (rating 1529 vs 1471).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK II (W) | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK II (W) 1–0–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/25 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJK II (W) | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Honka (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| TPS (W) | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| EBK (W) | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Lahti (W) | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| HJS (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| JyPK (W) | 5-1 W | 3-2 W |
| ONS (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK II (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJK II (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/03 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |