Football · Australia Victoria Cup Women · 30/06, 11:00
Box Hill (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)
Expected goals: 2.88 (Box Hill (W) 1.44 · Bulleen Lions (W) 1.44). The model gives 37% home, 26% draw, 37% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
37%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Box Hill (W) 1571 · Bulleen Lions (W) 1564
| Box Hill (W) | Draw | Bulleen Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Box Hill (W) 1.44 · Bulleen Lions (W) 1.44
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bulleen Lions (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Box Hill (W) | Bulleen Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Box Hill (W) 1–2–3 Bulleen Lions (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Box Hill (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 06/09/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Box Hill (W) |
| 13/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Box Hill (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 16/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Box Hill (W) |
| 06/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Box Hill (W) |
| 19/04/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Box Hill (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Box Hill (W) | Bulleen Lions (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Essendon Royals (W) | 1-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | 5-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Keilor Park (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Avondale FC (W) | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Alamein FC (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Box Hill (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-4 | 1-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Bulleen Lions (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |