Football · Myanmar League Women · 29/06, 11:00
Yangon United FC (W) vs Thitsar Arman FC (W)
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yangon United FC (W) 1561 · Thitsar Arman FC (W) 1501
| Yangon United FC (W) | Draw | Thitsar Arman FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 23% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.96Yangon United FC (W) 1.67 · Thitsar Arman FC (W) 1.28
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yangon United FC (W) (rating 1561 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Yangon United FC (W): 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yangon United FC (W) | Thitsar Arman FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yangon United FC (W) 2–1–1 Thitsar Arman FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Myanmar League Women | Thitsar Arman FC (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Yangon United FC (W) |
| 24/09/25 Myanmar League Women | Yangon United FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) |
| 18/09/24 Myanmar League Women | Thitsar Arman FC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Yangon United FC (W) |
| 09/08/24 Myanmar League Women | Yangon United FC (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yangon United FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Yadanarbon FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/01 | Myawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/01 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/01 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/01 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/01 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/01 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/12 | Young Lionesses FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 24/09 | Thitsar Arman FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Thitsar Arman FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/01 | Shan Utd (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/01 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/01 | Yreo FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/01 | Yangon City (W) Myanmar League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 30/12 | Ispe FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26/12 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/09 | Ayeyawady FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Yangon United FC (W) Myanmar League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |