Football · Vietnam Championship Women · 29/06, 11:00
Ha Noi (W) vs TP HCM (W)
34%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ha Noi (W) 1505 · TP HCM (W) 1568
| Ha Noi (W) | Draw | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.43Ha Noi (W) 1.22 · TP HCM (W) 1.22
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP HCM (W) (rating 1505 vs 1568).
- H2H favours TP HCM (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ha Noi (W) | TP HCM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ha Noi (W) 1–3–2 TP HCM (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Vietnam Cup Women | Ha Noi (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | TP HCM (W) |
| 13/05/26 Vietnam Cup Women | TP HCM (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ha Noi (W) |
| 13/10/25 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Noi (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TP HCM (W) |
| 22/09/25 Vietnam Championship Women | TP HCM (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ha Noi (W) |
| 01/12/24 Vietnam Cup Women | Ha Noi (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TP HCM (W) |
| 02/08/24 Vietnam Championship Women | Ha Noi (W) | 4-1 HT 3-1 | TP HCM (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ha Noi (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 13/10 | TP HCM (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/10 | Thai Nguyen (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
TP HCM (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ha Noi II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Ho Chi Minh II (W) Vietnam Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Ha Nam (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Than KSVN (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ha Noi (W) Vietnam Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/11 | Melbourne City (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Lion City Sailors FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 13/11 | Stallion Laguna FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |