Football · Georgia Super Cup · 01/07, 18:00
Dila Gori vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Expected goals: 2.4 (Dila Gori 1.23 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.17). The model gives 37% home, 29% draw, 34% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
37%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1472 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1536
| Dila Gori | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.4Dila Gori 1.23 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1.17
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Tbilisi (rating 1472 vs 1536).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dila Gori | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 3.5 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 2–2–2 Dinamo Tbilisi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 03/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dila Gori |
| 06/12/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 03/10/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dila Gori |
| 28/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dila Gori | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 17/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dila Gori |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dila Gori | Dinamo Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Rustavi | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FC Spaeri | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Batumi | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Samgurali | 2-3 L | 5-3 W |
| FC Gagra | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Tbilisi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dila Gori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Super Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Dinamo Tbilisi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Super Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 23/06 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-2 | 5-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
3-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |