Football · Niger Cup · 28/06, 17:30
AS ZAM vs ASN Nigelec
44%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AS ZAM 1487 · ASN Nigelec 1563
| AS ZAM | Draw | ASN Nigelec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 26% | 30% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.81AS ZAM 1.21 · ASN Nigelec 1.6
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 62%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASN Nigelec (rating 1487 vs 1563).
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS ZAM | ASN Nigelec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.5 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS ZAM
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | AS GNN Niger Cup |
0-0 | 11-9 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | AS Fan Niger Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | AS Douanes de Niamey Niger Super League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | AS GNN Niger Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Espoir FC Zinder Niger Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Sahel Niamey Niger Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Renaissance CB Niger Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | USGN Niger Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/02 | Renaissance CB Niger Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/02 | Tagour PC Niger Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
ASN Nigelec
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | AS UAM Niger Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | AS Fan Niger Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | AS UAM Niger Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | AS Douanes de Niamey Niger Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | AS Police Niger Niger Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | USGN Niger Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Sahel Niamey Niger Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/02 | Soniantcha FC Niger Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/02 | AS Bourja Niger Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/01 | Renaissance CB Niger Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |