Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 28/06, 20:00
3 de Febrero FBC vs Sportivo Iteno
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 3 de Febrero FBC 1465 · Sportivo Iteno 1526
| 3 de Febrero FBC | Draw | Sportivo Iteno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.753 de Febrero FBC 1.56 · Sportivo Iteno 1.18
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Iteno (rating 1465 vs 1526).
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 3 de Febrero FBC | Sportivo Iteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Febrero FBC 0–0–1 Sportivo Iteno
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Sportivo Iteno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | 3 de Febrero FBC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
3 de Febrero FBC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/04 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 10/04 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 07/11 | Club General Diaz Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Sportivo Iteno
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 6-5 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 15/05 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |