Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 28/06, 20:00
12 De Octubre San Domingo vs Atlantida SC
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 12 De Octubre San Domingo 1497 · Atlantida SC 1535
| 12 De Octubre San Domingo | Draw | Atlantida SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.8812 De Octubre San Domingo 1.45 · Atlantida SC 1.42
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 12 De Octubre San Domingo | Atlantida SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 De Octubre San Domingo 1–0–0 Atlantida SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/24 Paraguay Tercera Division | Atlantida SC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
12 De Octubre San Domingo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 9 | D |
| 04/05 | Presidente Hayes Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Club 1 de Marzo Fdm Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Primera C |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 07/07 | Deportivo Pinoza Paraguay Primera C |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Atlantida SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 02/06 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/04 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |