Football · Sierra Leone Premier League · 28/06, 18:15
East End Lions vs Mighty Blackpool
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · East End Lions 1558 · Mighty Blackpool 1462
| East End Lions | Draw | Mighty Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.11East End Lions 1.26 · Mighty Blackpool 0.85
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East End Lions (rating 1558 vs 1462).
- H2H favours East End Lions: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East End Lions | Mighty Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 0.8 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East End Lions 2–0–0 Mighty Blackpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Sierra Leone Premier League | Mighty Blackpool | 0-2 HT 0-0 | East End Lions |
| 05/07/25 Sierra Leone Premier League | East End Lions | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mighty Blackpool |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East End Lions
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Abacha City Sierra Leone Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Wusum Stars Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Luawa FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Ports Authority FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 26/04 | Wilberforce Strikers Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Star Sport Academy Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Old Edwardians Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | BAI Bureh Warriors Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/03 | FC Kallon Sierra Leone Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Bo Rangers FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
Mighty Blackpool
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kamboi Eagles FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bullom Stars Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Freetown City Sierra Leone Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Abacha City Sierra Leone Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Diamond Stars FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Freetonians SLIFA Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | Luawa FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Wusum Stars Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Ports Authority FC Sierra Leone Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Wilberforce Strikers Sierra Leone Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |