Football · Chile Ascenso Women · 28/06, 18:00
Audax Italiano (W) vs Everton de Vina (W)
80%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audax Italiano (W) 1415 · Everton de Vina (W) 1481
| Audax Italiano (W) | Draw | Everton de Vina (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 6% | 10% | 84% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.26 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.26Audax Italiano (W) 1.13 · Everton de Vina (W) 3.13
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Everton de Vina (W) (rating 1415 vs 1481).
- High estimate: 4.26 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Italiano (W) | Everton de Vina (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 2 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 38/13/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 1.7 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano (W) 2–2–2 Everton de Vina (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile Ascenso Women | Audax Italiano (W) | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Everton de Vina (W) |
| 22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Audax Italiano (W) | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Everton de Vina (W) |
| 23/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Everton de Vina (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano (W) |
| 11/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Audax Italiano (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina (W) |
| 27/04/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Everton de Vina (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano (W) |
| 03/07/21 Chile Primera Division Women | Everton de Vina (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Italiano (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Union La Calera (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cobresal (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
0-6 | 0-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Everton de Vina (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Union San Felipe (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Cobresal (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Deportes Limache (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | San Luis Quillota (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
Everton de Vina (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Audax Italiano (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Union La Calera (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Cobresal (W) Chile Ascenso Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-8 | 0-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |