Football · Brazil Copa Gaucho · 27/06, 20:00
GE Bage vs Gramadense
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GE Bage 1475 · Gramadense 1504
| GE Bage | Draw | Gramadense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| Market | 38% | 32% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.06GE Bage 1.11 · Gramadense 0.95
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GE Bage | Gramadense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/78/22% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 5.8 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GE Bage 1–0–0 Gramadense
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 | GE Bage | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gramadense |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GE Bage
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-1 | 2-1 | 18 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/06 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 21/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | Inter de Santa Maria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Inter de Santa Maria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/07 | Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Gramadense
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/06 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Copa Gaucho |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Monsoon Brazil Copa Gaucho |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Santa Cruz RS Brazil Copa Gaucho |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Novo Hamburgo Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/07 | Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |