Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 28/06, 12:00
Leevon PPK vs Metta/LU
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leevon PPK 1591 · Metta/LU 1607
| Leevon PPK | Draw | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.24Leevon PPK 1.2 · Metta/LU 2.04
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.24 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 3.3 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 2.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 15.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leevon PPK | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 4.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 2.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.7 | 4.3 / 8.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.6 | 2.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leevon PPK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Metta/LU
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 7-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Lielupe Latvia Cup |
4-0 | 6-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 8-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |