Football · Japan L2 League Women · 28/06, 06:00
Kibi University (W) vs Gunma FC White Star (W)
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kibi University (W) 1578 · Gunma FC White Star (W) 1465
| Kibi University (W) | Draw | Gunma FC White Star (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.56Kibi University (W) 1.76 · Gunma FC White Star (W) 0.8
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kibi University (W) (rating 1578 vs 1465).
- H2H favours Gunma FC White Star (W): 3-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (1.2 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kibi University (W) | Gunma FC White Star (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kibi University (W) 1–0–3 Gunma FC White Star (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Japan L2 League Women | Gunma FC White Star (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Kibi University (W) |
| 07/06/25 Japan L2 League Women | Kibi University (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Gunma FC White Star (W) |
| 13/04/25 Japan L2 League Women | Gunma FC White Star (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Kibi University (W) |
| 06/06/21 Japan L2 League Women | Kibi University (W) | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Gunma FC White Star (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kibi University (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/12 | Toyo University (W) Japan University Championship Women |
0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/12 | Shikoku University Women Japan University Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Gunma FC White Star (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |