Football · Japan L2 League Women · 28/06, 06:00
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) vs Renofa Yamaguchi (W)
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 1565 · Renofa Yamaguchi (W) 1496
| FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) | Draw | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.08FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 1.3 · Renofa Yamaguchi (W) 0.78
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (rating 1565 vs 1496).
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (1.5 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 1.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 0–0–1 Renofa Yamaguchi (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Japan L2 League Women | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 29/03 | Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
Renofa Yamaguchi (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |