Football · Malawi Super League · 28/06, 14:30
Creck SC vs Civil Service Utd
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Creck SC 1443 · Civil Service Utd 1515
| Creck SC | Draw | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.9Creck SC 0.99 · Civil Service Utd 0.91
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Civil Service Utd (rating 1443 vs 1515).
- Low estimate: 1.9 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Civil Service Utd: 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Creck SC | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.1 | 0.4 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Creck SC 0–1–2 Civil Service Utd
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
| 25/06/25 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Creck SC |
| 17/07/24 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Civil Service Utd |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Creck SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/01 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/12 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Civil Service Utd
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/12 | Songwe Border Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/12 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/12 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |