Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 28/06, 14:00
HJS (W) vs TPS (W)
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HJS (W) 1512 · TPS (W) 1451
| HJS (W) | Draw | TPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.92HJS (W) 2.1 · TPS (W) 0.82
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (W) (rating 1512 vs 1451).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJS (W) | TPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS (W) 1–0–0 TPS (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Finland Ykkonen Women | TPS (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HJS (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJS (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/04 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/10 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kakkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
TPS (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/04 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |