Football · Canada Northern Super League Women · 29/06, 00:30
Vancouver Rise FC (W) vs AFC Toronto (W)
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vancouver Rise FC (W) 1501 · AFC Toronto (W) 1488
| Vancouver Rise FC (W) | Draw | AFC Toronto (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 22% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.94Vancouver Rise FC (W) 1.47 · AFC Toronto (W) 1.47
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vancouver Rise FC (W): 3-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Rise FC (W) | AFC Toronto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Rise FC (W) 3–0–1 AFC Toronto (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AFC Toronto (W) |
| 25/04/26 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | AFC Toronto (W) |
| 15/11/25 Canada Northern Super League Women | AFC Toronto (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) |
| 25/07/25 Canada Northern Super League Women | Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AFC Toronto (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Rise FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | AFC Toronto (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/11 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Calgary Wild FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Monterrey (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-4 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
AFC Toronto (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Montreal Roses FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Halifax Tides FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/11 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | Vancouver Rise FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Halifax Tides FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Ottawa Rapid FC (W) Canada Northern Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |