Football · Japan Regional League · 28/06, 10:00
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons vs Nankatsu SC
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 1394 · Nankatsu SC 1556
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | Draw | Nankatsu SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 19% | 65% |
| Market | 15% | 20% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.57Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 1.13 · Nankatsu SC 2.44
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 54%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nankatsu SC (rating 1394 vs 1556).
- High estimate: 3.57 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Nankatsu SC: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | Nankatsu SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0–0–2 Nankatsu SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Japan Regional League | Nankatsu SC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons |
| 29/06/25 Japan Regional League | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Nankatsu SC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/09 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Nankatsu SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Toho Titanium Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/09 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |