Football · Finland Kolmonen · 27/06, 16:30
Hercules II vs KaPa Kajaani
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hercules II 1477 · KaPa Kajaani 1495
| Hercules II | Draw | KaPa Kajaani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| Market | 14% | 16% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.94Hercules II 1.19 · KaPa Kajaani 2.75
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 54%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.94 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hercules II | KaPa Kajaani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/14/43% | 83/0/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hercules II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
KaPa Kajaani
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Villan Pojat Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Kajha Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Santa Claus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | KePS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | HauPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | RoPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | RoPo Finland Cup |
1-0 | 6-7 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | SC Zulimanit Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Huima/Urho Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Huima/Urho Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |