Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 27/06, 13:00
ONS (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ONS (W) 1467 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1493
| ONS (W) | Draw | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.11ONS (W) 1.97 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.14
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.11 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours ONS (W): 4-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ONS (W) | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ONS (W) 4–1–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Ykkonen Women | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | ONS (W) |
| 30/10/22 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | ONS (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) |
| 26/10/22 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | ONS (W) |
| 08/05/21 Finland Ykkonen Women | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | ONS (W) |
| 30/08/20 Finland Ykkonen Women | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | ONS (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ONS (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/03 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |