Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 27/06, 15:00
FC Honka (W) vs HJK II (W)
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Honka (W) 1603 · HJK II (W) 1539
| FC Honka (W) | Draw | HJK II (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.89FC Honka (W) 1.83 · HJK II (W) 1.06
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (W) (rating 1603 vs 1539).
- H2H favours HJK II (W): 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 2.4 combined avg at HT (1 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Honka (W) | HJK II (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka (W) 0–0–2 HJK II (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Honka (W) |
| 08/06/25 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Honka (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Honka (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 27/05 | KTP (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | HPS II (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/04 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
HJK II (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 29/03 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |