Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 27/06, 16:00
FC Altai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Altai Semey 1494 · FK Kyzylzhar 1439
| FC Altai Semey | Draw | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.43FC Altai Semey 1.33 · FK Kyzylzhar 1.1
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Altai Semey (rating 1494 vs 1439).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Altai Semey | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Altai Semey 1–0–0 FK Kyzylzhar
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Altai Semey |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Altai Semey
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 5-4 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Cup |
0-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
FK Kyzylzhar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |