Football · Japan Regional League · 27/06, 10:30
Toho Titanium vs Tokyo United FC
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toho Titanium 1562 · Tokyo United FC 1518
| Toho Titanium | Draw | Tokyo United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.25Toho Titanium 1.17 · Tokyo United FC 1.08
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toho Titanium (rating 1562 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Tokyo United FC: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Toho Titanium | Tokyo United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 1.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toho Titanium 0–2–2 Tokyo United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 Japan Regional League | Toho Titanium | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tokyo United FC |
| 13/04/25 Japan Regional League | Tokyo United FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Toho Titanium |
| 27/07/24 Japan Regional League | Toho Titanium | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Tokyo United FC |
| 28/04/24 Japan Regional League | Tokyo United FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Toho Titanium |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toho Titanium
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Nihon University Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Tsukuba FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Tokyo United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | EDO ALL United Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/11 | J-Lease FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/11 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/11 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/11 | Fukuyama City FC Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |