⚽ Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 26/06, 15:00
Atletico Colegiales vs Club Olimpia de Ita
37%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Colegiales 1445 · Club Olimpia de Ita 1502
| Atletico Colegiales | Draw | Club Olimpia de Ita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Atletico Colegiales 1.18 · Club Olimpia de Ita 1.24
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Olimpia de Ita (rating 1445 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Colegiales | Club Olimpia de Ita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.8 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Colegiales 0–1–1 Club Olimpia de Ita
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Club Olimpia de Ita | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Colegiales |
| 11/07/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Atletico Colegiales | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Olimpia de Ita |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Atletico Colegiales
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Diaz Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Club 1 de Marzo Fdm Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Club Olimpia de Ita
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 25/05 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 21/05 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 23/04 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |