Football · Chile Cup · 30/06, 01:30
Union Espanola vs Colo Colo
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1521 · Colo Colo 1589
| Union Espanola | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.17Union Espanola 1.35 · Colo Colo 1.83
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 57%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1521 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 3.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 1–1–4 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Colo Colo |
| 24/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Union Espanola |
| 21/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola |
| 17/02/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Colo Colo |
| 03/12/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 14/05/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Union Espanola | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Recoleta | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |