Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 21:00
San Martin SJ vs Chacarita Juniors
Expected goals: 1.81 (San Martin SJ 1.13 · Chacarita Juniors 0.68). The model gives 46% home, 33% draw, 21% away. Over 1.5 goals (53%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin SJ 1515 · Chacarita Juniors 1471
| San Martin SJ | Draw | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Market | 46% | 32% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.81San Martin SJ 1.13 · Chacarita Juniors 0.68
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin SJ (rating 1515 vs 1471).
- H2H favours San Martin SJ: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin SJ | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin SJ 2–3–0 Chacarita Juniors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Martin SJ |
| 25/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 06/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin SJ |
| 14/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin SJ |
| 12/05/18 Argentina Superliga | Chacarita Juniors | 1-4 HT 1-2 | San Martin SJ |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Atletico Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 26 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Almagro | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 22 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 21 |
| 15 | Patronato Parana | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 21 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin SJ | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Almagro | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Patronato Parana | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Colegiales | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Quilmes | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ferrocarril Midland | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin SJ (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin SJ
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Platense Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Chacarita Juniors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |