Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 21:00
Ferrocarril Midland vs Gimnasia Jujuy
Expected goals: 2.46 (Ferrocarril Midland 1.38 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1.09). The model gives 42% home, 31% draw, 28% away. Over 2 goals (56%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
42%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferrocarril Midland 1499 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1531
| Ferrocarril Midland | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.46Ferrocarril Midland 1.38 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1.09
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 56%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferrocarril Midland | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 0–0–1 Gimnasia Jujuy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Atletico Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 26 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Almagro | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 22 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 21 |
| 15 | Patronato Parana | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 21 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferrocarril Midland | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atlanta | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Guemes | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Jujuy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Gimnasia Jujuy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Belgrano Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |